The S&P/TSX Composite Index tracks the performance of the largest companies listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Consisting of roughly 230 constituents, the index accounts for nearly 95% of Canada’s equities market—often serving as a benchmark for Canada’s overall economic health.

The index is segmented into 11 economic sectors according to the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)—a four-tiered industry analysis framework developed by S&P Dow Jones and MSCI. This standardization classifies companies into sector groups with similar business activities. The GICS hierarchy extends further into 25 industry groups, 74 industries, and 163 sub-industries. These granular classifications provide essential support for market participants in performance evaluation, sector analysis, portfolio positioning, and sector-based rotational themes.

Business cycles—recurring periods of economic expansion and contraction—represent fluctuations in growth that profoundly influence financial markets. While each cycle is unique, historical patterns of sector performance often emerge. Leadership tends to rotate as the economy shifts, driven by macroeconomic variables and investor psychology. Discerning relative strength from weakness, especially in the early stages of a trend, is essential. Identifying which sectors to avoid is as critical as pinpointing those favored by the prevailing environment.

As of March 4, 202620242025YTD%Structure*+/-
Cyclical Sectors
S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index30.1033.741.052Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Capped Real Estate Index5.501.41-0.081Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Capped Information Technology 37.9613.49-20.434Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Capped Consumer Discretionary Index11.8928.065.942Relative Weakness
Sensitive Sectors
S&P/TSX Capped Telecommunication Services Index-21.1012.267.811Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Capped Industrial Index9.712.227.942Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index21.44100.8432.092Relative Strength
S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index23.977.0125.132Relative Strength
Defensive Sectors
S&P/TSX Capped Consumer Staples Index18.9517.085.012Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Capped Health Care Index8.1912.90-0.051Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Capped Utilities13.7513.759.982Relative Weakness
S&P/TSX Composite Index21.6528.888.922RS to US Equites

A capped index sets a maximum % on the relative weighting of an index component that is determined by market capitalization. S&P/TSX Capped Sector YTD performance are sourced from www.tmx.com.

*Structure: 1; Accumulation, 2; Expansion, 2C; Potential Consolidation, 3; Distribution, 4; Decline