Intermarket Analysis

Localized Stress Signals Fractures in Lower-Tier Spreads

The U.S. Dollar Index, currently trading at $99.25, reflects a period of depreciation against its major trading partners. After a sharp 13% slide in the first half of 2025, the index entered an accumulation phase to establish a floor. Year-to-date gains remain a marginal 0.45%, stifled by persistent macroeconomic headwinds. The index is primarily constrained […]

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Rising gold prices: a win for miners, a boost for the TSX Materials sector.

By comparison, the US Dollar fell 9.78%, while the Thomson Reuters/Core Commodity Index edged up 0.44%—stifled by a decline in oil prices. Conversely, global equities (MSCI ACWI) surged 19.14%, and US Government Bonds (iShares 7-10 Year Treasury) gained 4.60%. Gold shined brightly in 2025, hitting all-time highs. Gold demand stems from four primary sectors: jewelry,

Rising gold prices: a win for miners, a boost for the TSX Materials sector. Read More »

Are we near a market top in US Equities?

With supplementing information from the commodities market, yield inversion, potential widening in credit risk, and mixed market internals, it’s imperative to stay with the current trend, with the needed aptitude to adapt to trend changes. If and when the market transitions to a declining structure, signaled by descending peaks and troughs, it will do so

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Commodities continue to show relative strength to bonds and stocks. Inflation problems persist.

The US Dollar Index is a basket of currencies representing major US trading partners – the loonie, the euro, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, British pound, and Swedish krona. A rise in the US Dollar Index implies relative strength against these currencies. Commodities tend to benefit from a relative weakness in the US dollar. Since major commodities

Commodities continue to show relative strength to bonds and stocks. Inflation problems persist. Read More »